Methods for Evaluating Waning Efficacy of Rotavirus Vaccines Público
Qi, Wenrui (Spring 2020)
Abstract
The purpose of this study is to compare four different methods (descriptive method, Durham’s method, Tian’s method and time-dependent covariate method) to detect true waning of rotavirus vaccines efficacy (VE) and to estimate the magnitude of temporal changes in VE. The methods used in this study can be divided into two groups: a descriptive method and methods based on Cox proportional hazard model (Durham’s method, Tian’s method and time-dependent covariate method). We used stochastic agent-based simulation software that generates data from rotavirus VE studies under different scenarios of true VE waning. From the results of these comparisons we conclude that Durham’s method is more powerful in terms of detecting VE waning and providing more information about the temporal behavior of VE. More research is needed to derive better estimates of VE waning.
Table of Contents
Table of Contents
1. INTRODUCTION
2. MATERIALS AND METHODS
2.1 Simulation model and software
2.2 Descriptive Analysis
2.3 Analytic methods based on the Cox proportional hazard Model
2.3.1 Durham’s Method
2.3.2 Tian’s Method
2.3.3 Time-dependent Covariates Method
3. RESULTS
3.1 Results of MALED
3.2 Comparison between the Descriptive and Durham’s Method for Estimating VE
3.3 Comparison of Estimated Drop in VE per Period between the Descriptive and Durham’s Method
3.4 Comparison of Proportion Rejections of the Null Hypothesis of no VE waning between Durham’s Method, Tian’s Method and Time-dependent Covariates Method
4. DISCUSSION
5. REFERENCE
6. FIGURES AND TABLES
6.1 Tables
6.2 Figures
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