Emission Impossible? Political Determinants of Compliance with the Kyoto Protocol 公开
Lambert, Graham Gordon (2010)
Abstract
Abstract
Emission Impossible? Political Determinants of Compliance with the
Kyoto Protocol
By Graham G. Lambert
The battle against global warming has become a salient
issue in not just the
environmental sphere but also the political realm. In order to
combat global warming and its
cause, the emission of greenhouse gases, the Kyoto Protocol was
created. Yet states vary widely in their level of compliance with
the treaty's provisions for reducing carbon emissions. This paper
identifies a number of political factors that might explain that
variation, from the role of environmental parties, "dirty industry"
pressure groups, and the electoral cycle, to cross-country policy
contagion. To test the impact of these variables alongside that of
the basic pressures of economic growth and population size, I
estimate a multivariate regression of compliance with Kyoto
Protocol carbon emission targets. The results suggest that some of
these political factors have a strong influence on compliance
patterns.
Table of Contents
Table of Contents
Introduction
1
Background
5
Literature Review
8
Hypothesis
14
Research Design
15
Country Coverage
15
Unit of Observation and Sample
15
Dependent Variable
16
Independent Variables
18
Diffusion
18
Fossil Fuel
20
Green Parties
20
Election Year
21
Population
21
Controls
22
Total Growth
22
Per Capita Growth
22
Analysis
26
Primary Model
26
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