Fighting for Peace: Factors Affecting the Durability of Peace after Civil War Termination 公开

Abstract

Civil wars continue to be increasingly prevalent in the global environment. In contrast to their inter-state counterparts, civil conflicts are more numerous, brutal, and deadly. Exacerbating these effects is the problem that many civil wars reemerge after termination: the post-war peace does not last. This phenomenon begs the question: what factors promote a durable peace after civil war termination? This study begins to explore that question, looking at various pre, mid, and post-war factors that affect the durability of peace after civil war termination. Using both qualitative and quantitative methods, this empirical study found that a country's economy is the most consistent factor that influences the durability of peace. More specifically, a strong economy correlates with a durable peace. This study also found that countries with pre-war political exclusion for populations and conflicts that fade both correlate with a less-durable peace, while conflicts that end in a total victory correlate with a more lasting peace. This research contributes to the vital discussion on how to handle civil war termination, promote peace, and prevent civil wars from reemerging.

Table of Contents

Introduction. 1

The Causes of Civil War. 2

The Causes of Civil War: Ethnicity. 3

The Causes of Civil War: Inequality. 5

Characteristics of Conflict. 6

Characteristics of Settlement. 7

Post-Conflict Conditions.9

Research Design. 13

Analysis Results. 17

Table 1. Pre-War Factors. 19

Table 2.1 Mid-War Factors: Deaths. 20

Table 2.2 Mid-War Factors: Magnitude. 20

Table 3.1 Post-War Termination Factors: Any Peace Agreement. 21

Table 3.2 Post-War Termination Factors: Total Victory. 21

Table 3.3 Post-War Termination Factors: Conflict Fades. 21

Table 4.1 Post-War Peacekeeping Factors: Any Peacekeeping. 22

Table 4.2 Post-War Peacekeeping Factors: Humanitarian Peacekeeping. 22

Table 4.3 Post-War Peacekeeping Factors: Traditional Peacekeeping. 23

Table 4.4 Post-War Peacekeeping Factors: Number of Peacekeepers. 23

Table 4.5 Post-War Peacekeeping Factors: Number of Countries Involved in Mission. 23

Introduction: Guatemala. 23

Characteristics of Society: Guatemala. 24

Characteristics of Conflict: Guatemala. 27

Characteristics of Settlement and Post-Conflict Condition: Guatemala. 31

Findings and Results. 34

Guatemala. 34

Quantitative and Qualitative Results. 35

Conclusion. 38

Bibliography. 41

About this Honors Thesis

Rights statement

• Permission granted by the author to include this thesis or dissertation in this repository. All rights reserved by the author. Please contact the author for information regarding the reproduction and use of this thesis or dissertation.

School	Emory College
Department	International Studies
Degree	BA
Submission	Honors Thesis
Language	English
Research Field	Political Science, General
关键词	Peace Political Science Conflict Termination
Committee Chair / Thesis Advisor	Davis III, David, Emory University
Committee Members	Jung, Danielle F, Emory University Anderson, Carol , Emory University

最新修改

Primary PDF

Thumbnail	Title	Date Uploaded	Actions
	Fighting for Peace: Factors Affecting the Durability of Peace after Civil War Termination ()	2018-08-28 11:35:48 -0400	Press to Select an action Download

Supplemental Files

Thumbnail	Title	Date Uploaded	Actions