A Chocolate City No More? Exploring Racial Polarization and Population Shifts in Post-Katrina New Orleans Pubblico
Butler, Jessica Fay (2015)
Abstract
This paper explores population shifts in New Orleans that occurred as a result of Hurricane Katrina, and the impact of such shifts on the outcome of mayoral elections. The research focuses on the movement of African Americans out of New Orleans, and the notion that this movement created a favorable climate for the election of the city's first white mayor in nearly four decades. Drawing primarily from voter registration and election returns data, this paper seeks to illustrate that the "black exodus" out of New Orleans created conditions that finally allowed Mitch Landrieu to be elected mayor of that city, while simultaneously putting an end to three decades of black mayoral control.
Table of Contents
Introduction 1
Surveying the Field 9
Racialization vs. Deracialization: Is One More Effective? 21
New Orleans' Mayoral Elections: A Closer Look 51
Table 1: Average Percentage of Support Based on Black Population in 2002 55
Graph 1: Nagin's Black Support in 2002 57
Table 2: Average Percentage of Support Based on Black Population in 2006 59
Graph 2: Nagin's Black Support in 2006 60
Table 3: Average Percentage of Support Based on Black Population in 2010 63
Graph 3: Landrieu's Black Support in 2010 64
Map 1: Black Population, Nagin Vote Share and Turnout in 2002 66
Map 2: Black Population, Nagin Vote Share and Turnout in 2006 67
Map 3: Black Population, Landrieu Vote Share and Turnout in 2010 68
Graph 4: Nagin 2006 Support by Change in Black Population 72
Conclusion 73
References 77
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