Investigating the association between small-area violent crime and preterm birth in Atlanta, GA: 1998-2006 Público
Messina, Lauren Claire (2012)
Abstract
Background: Preterm birth causes considerable morbidity and
mortality among children
in the United States, but the risk of preterm birth is not fully
explained by individual
maternal risk factors. There is some evidence that living in a high
crime
neighborhood may contribute to an increased risk of preterm
birth.
Methods: We used multilevel logistic regression to
investigate the association between
both census tract and census block group violent crime rate on the
probability of
preterm birth, controlling for potential individual and
neighborhood-level
confounders. We restricted our analysis to births within the City
of Atlanta, GA in
the years 1998-2006.
Results: Preterm births comprised 13.1% of 50,665 births in
Atlanta. Violent crime rates
at the block group level showed statistically significant
interaction with maternal
age. The odds of preterm birth among women in the highest two
violent crime
quartiles were increased compared to women in the lowest violent
crime quartile
among women 30 years and older; there was no association between
living in the
highest block group crime quartiles and preterm birth compared to
living in the
lowest crime quartile among women younger than 30. There was no
significant
interaction between tract-level violent crime and age category; all
women living in
any but the lowest crime quartile showed an increased odds of
preterm birth
compared to women living in the lowest crime quartile.
Discussion: There is evidence of an association between
living in a high-crime area and
an increased risk of preterm birth, when considering violent crime
rate at either the
block group scale or the tract scale.
Table of Contents
Table of Contents
Introduction 1
Methods 5
Results 9
Discussion 15
Future Directions 19
References 20
Table 1: Demographics and health characteristics of infants
and mothers of
infants born at term and preterm in Atlanta, GA, 1998-2006 22
Table 2: Distribution of all births in spatially-smoothed
block group violent
crime rate quartiles of Atlanta, GA, 1998-2006 24
Table 3: The odds of preterm birth of women in medium, high,
and very
high spatially-smoothed block group crime quartiles compared to
women in
the lowest crime quartiles, stratified by age category 27
Table 4: The odds of preterm birth of women in all maternal age
categories
and all spatially-smoothed block group crime quartiles compared to
women
aged 30-34 in the lowest crime quartile. 28
Table 5: Odds of preterm birth of women in medium, high, and
very high
spatially-smoothed tract crime quartiles compared to women in the
lowest
crime quartiles as calculated by three models 29
Figure 1: Violent crime rate in Atlanta, GA by type of crime:
1989-2009. 30
Figure 2: Distribution of spatially smoothed block-group
level violent
crime rate quartiles in Atlanta, GA: 1998, 2002, and 2006. 31
Figure 3: Distribution of poverty in Atlanta, GA,
represented as the percent
of people in each census tract below the poverty line: 1998, 2002,
and 2006. 32
Figure 4: Distribution of tract-level deprivation indices in
Atlanta, GA:
1998, 2002, and 2006. 33
Figure 5: Distribution of spatially-smoothed block group
preterm birth rates
in Atlanta, GA: 1998-2006. 34
Figure 6: Number of births per spatially-smoothed
block-group violent
crime quartile in Atlanta, GA: 1998-2006. 35
Figure 7: Adjusted odds ratios comparing odds of preterm
birth in the a) 4th
spatially-smooth block group crime quartile, the b) 3rd
spatially-smooth
block group crime quartile, and the c) 2nd spatially-smooth block
group
crime quartile with the 1st spatially-smooth block group crime
quartile
between age categories in Atlanta, GA, 1998-2006. 36
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