The Second Scramble for Africa: Foreign Military Base Presence and Natural Resource Exportation Öffentlichkeit
Damer-Salas, Sofia (Spring 2024)
Abstract
This thesis paper explores the relationship between foreign military base presence and frequency in Africa, and the exportation of valuable natural resources out of the African countries acting as hosts for wealthier foreign nations. The history of foreign presence is explained, as well as the current relevance of military settlements in Africa that are new and in process by wealthy and rapidly growing countries that were previously considered "developing" countries. Foreign military base presence is used as a dummy variable, and natural resources are measured by total value, rather than by quantity. The value of natural resources exported is the dependent variable, and foreign base presence and frequency are the main variables explored in the regression. Ultimately, there is a statistically significant relationship between the two, main explanatory variables, this only is the case when the dependent variable is logged for the foreign base presence variable, suggesting that the relationship is positively correlated, and existent, but not linear. Overall, the presence of a foreign military base increased the total value of natural resources exported by 43 percent. Other population and conflict variables and their roles in natural resource exportation are discussed, like the negative relationship between GDP per capita and the Y variable, and the positive relationship between corruption and the total value of natural resources exported. Future replication of this study in ten years would be a good idea, seeing as many new military base developments by Asian and Middle Eastern countries may happen, and researchers would be better able to see if Eastern countries who have rapidly grown, are looking to compete with each other for essential African resources. Researchers should also continue to monitor the bilateral costs and benefits of foreign military presence.
Table of Contents
Abstract Introduction Historical Context Literature Review Method Data Description Results Limitations Conclusion
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